Bet Highlight:

1. Opelka has a strong recent record on grass (5/2 in 2023).
2. Jarry struggles on grass and has a poor record this year (5/11 on clay).
3. Opelka’s powerful serve and grass-court skills give him an edge.

Full Analysis:

Today at 11:00 a.m., Reilly Opelka will face Nicolas Jarry in the round of 16 at the tournament in Hertogenbosch. I’m picking the American powerhouse Opelka for the win here. Standing at 211 cm, Opelka didn’t make it through qualifying, losing in the second round to Lajal, but he entered the main draw as a lucky loser. In his first match, he defeated De Jong in a tough battle, winning two tiebreaks and a decisive 6-2 set in the final set. His career record on grass is 12/16, but since returning in 2023, he’s been 5/2, which is a solid form on this surface. His overall record for the year across all surfaces is 18/14.

On the other side, we have Chilean Nicolas Jarry, who is more of a clay-court specialist and currently out of form. Last year he finished with a 19/24 record, and this year he’s 9/14, with a poor 5/11 record on clay. He doesn’t have much experience on grass, with a career record of 13/16 on this surface. In his first match here, he managed to beat fellow clay-courter Darderi in three sets.

Opelka is in better form right now, and the grass surface suits him better, so I’m picking him for the win.

Good luck