Bet highlight

1. Berkieta has not lost a single set this week.
2. He defeated last week's winner Mazza while dropping just 14 games in 6 sets.
3. Schiessl has played 7 hours over the last two days, which may cost him today.

Full analysis

In the semifinal of the men’s ITF tournament in Messina, Italy, I’m placing a bet on Berkieta to win against Schiessl. The key factor here is their performance this week, which clearly shows who’s in better form.

Berkieta has been absolutely dominant, not dropping a single set so far. He convincingly beat Tammar, Lazaro Juncadella, and most notably last week’s champion Mazza, losing only 14 games across 6 sets.

In contrast, Schiessl’s journey has been tough. All three of his matches went to the maximum number of sets. Although he's the top seed, opponents like Bilardo, Bronzetti, and especially Papamalamis pushed him hard. He spent nearly 4 hours on court today and a total of 7 hours over the last two days. This fatigue could be a big disadvantage against a fresh Berkieta, who cruised into the semifinals.

For me, Berkieta is the clear favorite in this matchup.

Good luck