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BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024
Earn
57%
Natus Vincere
Spirit
Author's trust 40%
Prediction Match Win Spirit

Sport

ESPORTS

Date added

Match date

League

BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024

Bet type

MONEY LINE

Moderator Odds

1.57

Do not bet lower odds

1.5

Stake

2

Prediction

Match Win Spirit

Description

Bet highlight:


  1. Spirit’s performance is unmatched right now, fueled by unstoppable displays from donk.
  2. NaVi isn’t looking great, barely scraping past Pain Gaming, in overtime on the third map.
  3. From map stats to individual performances, Spirit looks much stronger than NaVi.


Full analysis:

In today’s Blast Bounty match between Natus Vincere (NaVi) and Spirit, I’ll be doing something rare for me-picking the favorite to win in the match win market. Spirit is currently the definition of the best team in the world. They seem unbreakable, with their star donk putting up insane numbers match after match, Shiro performing consistently on the AWP, and the entire roster clicking perfectly.

I initially considered the possibility of Spirit losing steam after their major win, but there’s no sign of that happening-they’re still going strong without any issues. Looking at the map stats (with perma-bans removed), Spirit either matches or outperforms NaVi across the board.

On the other side, NaVi has been shaky. Yesterday’s game against Pain went to overtime on the third map, even giving match points to NaVi before the OT. Key players like B1t and iM might try to make an impact here, but comparing current forms, donk should dominate both. If Shiro is on his game, this could even end up being an easy match for Spirit.

The odds of 1.57 for Spirit make sense against a more stable team like G2, but they feel slightly inflated against NaVi. Personally, I’d price Spirit closer to 1.30 in this matchup. That said, I’m keeping the stakes low—this is more of a "booster" bet. I’ll back Spirit here with a 2/5 stake.

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