Bet highlight:

1. Sexton getting the minutes
2. Hawks without good defense last games

Full analysis:

Collin Sexton has shown solid scoring ability against the Atlanta Hawks in previous matchups. Over his last ten games against Atlanta, he has averaged 18.8 points per game, which is right around the 18.5-point threshold. His performances have varied, with some games exceeding 20 points and others falling short.

Recent form suggests Sexton has been averaging 18.2 points per game this season, making the 18.5-point mark a reasonable expectation. The Hawks allow 119.3 points per game on average, which suggests a favorable scoring environment for Sexton. His minutes will be crucial—if he gets around 30 minutes, his chances of hitting over 18.5 points increase significantly. The Utah Jazz have struggled defensively, ranking 29th in adjusted NET rating. If the game remains competitive, Sexton could see extended playing time and more scoring opportunities.

Sexton has a strong chance of surpassing 18.5 points, especially if he maintains his usual shot volume and efficiency. However, factors such as game flow, defensive matchups, and his role in the Jazz’s offensive scheme will play a crucial role