Bet highlight

1. Wolfsburg has only 3 home wins this season, with more goals conceded (27) than scored (25).
2. Freiburg recently beat Hoffenheim 3:2 and won the last head-to-head vs Wolfsburg.
3. Wolfsburg is winless in their last 5 home games, scoring only 4 goals.

Full analysis

As we gear up for the Bundesliga face-off between Wolfsburg and Freiburg, intrigue surrounds this match scheduled for the 26th of April, 2025. The stakes are high as the league edges towards its climax.

Wolfsburg, currently 12th in the standings with 39 points, has had a lackluster season, especially at home. They've only managed to secure 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses on their turf. They've scored 25 goals but conceded 27 in these matches. In contrast, Freiburg sits comfortably in 5th place with 48 points, showing stronger form on the road with 5 wins and 19 points from their travels. Their away goal tally might not be impressive at 14 scored against 26 conceded, but their recent performance, including a 3:2 victory over Hoffenheim, shows a team in momentum.

Freiburg seems to have the upper hand in this matchup, not only because of their current form but also their historical performance against Wolfsburg, having won the previous encounter 3:2. Despite Wolfsburg's Mohamed Amoura leading the scoring charts for his team with 10 goals, Freiburg has been more resilient and tactically sound in crucial moments. Moreover, Wolfsburg’s recent form has been worrying, failing to win any of their last 5 home games, drawing 3 and losing 2, with only 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. This indicates a problem in both their offensive and defensive setups.

Considering the data, the tip leans towards an away win for Freiburg. The team has shown greater consistency and resilience, particularly in challenging environments. There's always a risk in betting, particularly with Wolfsburg playing at home and potentially pulling off a surprise under pressure, but Freiburg's overall form and head-to-head advantage tilt the scales in their favor. A cautious approach would still be wise given the unpredictability of football.

Tip: Freiburg to win, 65% probability.

Good luck.