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Super Rugby Pacific
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90%
Western Force
Moana Pasifika (over 54)
Author's trust 60%
Prediction Over 54

Sport

RUGBY_UNION

Date added

Match date

League

Super Rugby Pacific

Bet type

OTHER

Moderator Odds

1.9

Do not bet lower odds

1.8

Stake

3

Prediction

Over 54

Description

Bet highlight:


  1. Force have revamped their squad and made significant attacking reinforcements.
  2. Moana Pasifika signed one of the best players in the world, Ardie Savea.
  3. Both teams are determined to improve on last season's disappointing finish.


Full analysis:

Both teams finished near the bottom of the table last season, separated by just two points. This year, they are both eager to push for a playoff spot.

Moana Pasifika made a bold statement by signing Ardie Savea, the 2023 World Rugby Player of the Year, who will also take on the captaincy role. Alongside Savea, they’ve bolstered their attacking options, but their biggest concern remains defense, which was among the worst in the competition last year—only marginally better than the bottom-ranked side.

On the other hand, Western Force opted for a complete squad overhaul, making 23 roster changes in the offseason. They’ve clearly pushed hard to rebuild, and while it remains to be seen how well these moves pay off, expectations are that they will be significantly stronger than last year.

Force are the favorites in this matchup, playing at home and eager to start the season with a statement win. However, early-season games can be unpredictable, and Moana Pasifika have the firepower to stay competitive and put up 20+ points—possibly much more.

Considering last season’s defensive struggles for both teams and their focus on offensive improvements, this game has high-scoring potential. With that in mind, my pick is to bet on the over.

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